Posted: Oct. 23, 2012
RACES-2-WATCH: LEGISLATIVE UPDATE
By Celia Cohen
Grapevine Political Writer
The fiercest legislative races are at either ends of
the state.
Upstate across a wide swath of northern New Castle
County, the Democrats are trying to cling to a Senate
seat they never should have won in the first place.
Downstate in a sweep through central Sussex County,
the Republicans are in a fight for a Senate seat they
never in their wildest imaginings thought they could
lose.
The race upstate is the sort of bruising smackdown to
be expected when there is a sitting Democratic senator
defending himself against a sitting Republican
representative being shorn not just of his own seat, but
a leadership post, because of redistricting. Neither
wants to go home.
The race downstate is a nobody-could-make-this-up
monstrosity that may be the weirdest Delaware has ever
seen.
Upstate it is Mike Katz, a first-term Democrat in the
Senate, against Greg Lavelle, the Republican majority
leader in the House of Representatives, in the 4th
Senate District.
They have been pummeling the tar out of each other in
a district long regarded as the cradle of genteel,
upstate Republicanism, a site that includes the area
known as Chateau Country where the du Ponts settled and
prospered.
Katz, a doctor with an MBA, was able to take
advantage of a Republican primary in 2008 to steal it
away, and Lavelle, a financial consultant with 12 years
in the legislature, wants to return the district to its
natural leanings. It is very much in play.
Downstate it is, well, it has been hard to keep track
of who is running in the 19th Senate District.
This political freak began with a Republican primary
that was supposed to settle the election in these
conservative reaches of Sussex County. Eric Bodenweiser,
a Tea Party provocative, took out Joe Booth, the senator
who did himself in with a clumsy political move by
appropriating a school administrator's job and thereby
double dipping.
The Democrats recruited Jane Hovington, the county
vice-chair of the party, just in case the primary was
bitter enough for the Republicans to self-destruct.
For Bodenweiser, the Senate seat was his, his, his,
until slowly but surely he had to let it slip away,
first suspending his campaign, then withdrawing his
candidacy, all before he was indicted Monday on 113
counts of sexually abusing a child about 25 years ago.
As Bodenweiser was backing away, the Republicans took
the precaution of filing Brian Pettyjohn, a past mayor
of Georgetown, as a write-in candidate. There are few
tasks in politics harder than winning a write-in
campaign, but the party is going to try.
For years and years, this district was tediously
stable, represented by Thurman Adams, a conservative
Democrat who became the Senate president pro tem, from
1972 until the day he died in 2009. Now this.
GENERAL
ASSEMBLY
Current
Senate: 14 Democrats, 7 Republicans
Current House
of Representatives: 26 Democrats, 15 Republicans
All seats are
up because of redistricting
DISTRICT |
MAIN CANDIDATES |
VOTERS |
RUNDOWN |
OUTLOOK |
Senate 4th Greenville-Brandywine Hundred-Pike
Creek Valley
|
Mike Katz
Democrat
Greg
Lavelle
Republican |
D:
35%
R:
39%
O:
26% |
Katz had the early edge, but is Lavelle
trying to say something by sticking sunny yellow
smiley faces on his road signs? |
Tossup |
Senate 12th New Castle-Delaware City-below
the canal |
Dori Connor
Republican
Nicole Poore
Democrat |
D:
54%
R:
23%
O:
23% |
After 15 years in office, Connor could be
done in by redistricting and a lopsided
Democratic registration |
Advantage: Democrat |
Senate 6th Lewes-Rehoboth-Dewey-Milton |
Ernie
Lopez
Republican
Andy
Staton
Democrat |
D:
40%
R:
37%
O:
23% |
Both candidates are transplants to Sussex,
but Lopez appears to be capitalizing on local
family ties and a little help from some
Democratic friends |
Advantage: Republican |
Senate 19th Bridgeville-Georgetown-Long
Neck |
Jane
Hovington
Democrat
Brian
Pettyjohn
Republican write-in |
D:
40%
R:
39%
O:
21% |
This race is in an uproar after Eric
Bodenweiser, the Republican candidate, dropped
out shortly before he was indicted for child sex
crimes |
Too bizarre to call |
House 10th Brandywine Hundred |
Dennis Williams
Democrat
Bob
Rhodunda
Republican |
D:
44%
R:
32%
O:
24% |
Even after two terms, Williams
still looks to the Republicans like someone they
can take out |
Advantage: Democrat |
House 23rd Newark |
Paul
Baumbach
Democrat
Mark
Doughty
Republican |
D:
41%
R:
31%
O:
28% |
Baumbach is favored, but
this is UD country, where it would be unwise to
count out a candidate with the prize endorsement
Doughty has from Tubby Raymond |
Advantage: Democrat |
House 11th Southern New Castle
County-northern Kent County |
Lynne
Newlin
Democrat
Jeffrey Spiegelman
Republican |
D: 42%
R:
31%
O:
27% |
Spiegelman is running under the radar and
could slip by the Democratic registration edge |
Advantage: Republican |
House 29th Cheswold-Dover-Camden |
Lincoln Willis
Republican
Trey
Paradee
Democrat |
D: 44%
R:
32%
O:
24% |
Although Willis coasted into this seat in
'10, the Democrats are making a run with Paradee,
who sat out the last election but nearly won it
in '08 |
Advantage: Republican |
House 32nd Dover |
Andria Bennett
Democrat
Ellis
Parrott
Republican |
D:
50%
R:
25%
O:
25% |
Dynamite might not be enough to blast anyone
named Bennett out of this seat |
Advantage: Democrat |
House 20th Lewes-Milton |
Marie
Mayor
Democrat
Steve
Smyk
Republican |
D:
39%
R:
37%
O:
24% |
Mayor gets high marks for her campaign
organization, but it is tough to beat a retired
state trooper like Smyk in Sussex |
Advantage: Republican |
House 37th Georgetown-Long Neck |
Ruth Briggs King
Republican
Beth
McGinn
Democrat |
D:
41%
R:
38%
O:
21% |
The district was drawn to give Briggs King
trouble, and it is. The manufactured housing
people are restless |
Advantage: Republican |
House 38th Ocean View-Fenwick
Island-Selbyville |
Ron
Gray
Republican
Shirley Price
Democrat |
D:
35%
R:
44%
O:
21% |
Price, an ex-legislator, knows how to
campaign, but Gray has the registration on his
side as well as Gerald Hocker, a Republican
giving up the seat to run for the Senate |
Advantage: Republican |
House 40th Laurel-Delmar |
Tim
Dukes
Republican
Ben
Lowe
Democrat |
D:
41%
R:
38%
O:
21% |
The retirement of Biff Lee, an 11-term Republican, opened
up this Sussex seat in territory favorable to a
Republican |
Advantage: Republican |
Incumbents in bold
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